Rethinking Humanity: Episode 2 Two Rethinkers The Great Discovery by RethinkX

Geschreven op 8-11-2021 - Erik van Erne. Geplaatst in Klimaat

“Blind to the deeper process of change, humanity has no idea it’s on the brink of epic, existential transformation.”

The Rethinking Humanity video series is based on the book, Rethinking Humanity: Five Foundational Sector Disruptions, the Lifecycle of Civilizations, and the Coming Age of Freedom by James Arbib and Tony Seba, published by RethinkX.

We are on the cusp of the fastest, deepest, most consequential transformation of human civilization in history. During the 2020s, key technologies will converge to completely disrupt the five foundational sectors that underpin the global economy, and with them every major industry in the world today. In information, energy, food, transportation, and materials, costs will fall by a 10x or more, while production processes an order of magnitude more efficient will use 90% fewer natural resources with 10x-100x less waste.

The knock-on effects for society will be as profound as the extraordinary possibilities that emerge. For the first time in history, we could overcome poverty easily. Access to all our basic needs could become a fundamental human right. But this is just one future outcome. The alternative could see our civilization collapse into a new dark age. Which path we take depends on the choices we make, starting today. The stakes could not be higher.

“We’re two forecasters who have developed a more accurate way of explaining the world.” Episode 2 of the Rethinking Humanity series by @RethinkX introduces Tony Seba and James Arbib: two outsiders from the forecasting profession, who have predicted everything from the rise of Google to the collapse of Coal. At first their predictions drew dismissal, even anger. But after a decade of proven accuracy, they’re now asked “How?”.

It’s simple: Twenty years of deciphering the hidden patterns behind technology disruption show that change refuses to travel in a straight line. Instead it ripples and cascades. After long periods of stability, big change happens fast, in an ‘S curve’ shape. Systems change this way at every scale: from a single human cell to a whole sector of society. Like many of nature’s most beautiful patterns, it reveals a secret: entire civilizations change this way too.

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Anders Bekeken