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Anders Bekeken

Quick Guide on The Science of Climate Change: A Summary of the Science by The Royal Society

Geschreven op 2-10-2010 - Erik van Erne. Geplaatst in Klimaat Facebooktwitterredditpinterestlinkedintumblrmail

Climate ChangeBritain’s Royal Society released a short guide on the science of climate change. Compared to the average 3,000 page opus from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) that is released every six years, this new report has been distilled to just 20 pages.

It’s been nearly a year since some members of the climate science community were accused of falsifying information about climate change.

Although those scientists (and the science itself) have since been exonerated, some seeds of doubt were sown so deep for the public that there remains some misunderstanding about what climate research has shown concretely.

This new short guide succinctly packages the current state of climate science into an easily digestible package. It certainly won’t replace the IPCC reports, but this new travel-sized document is a good reference piece. Source: Climate Central

Concluding remarks:
There is strong evidence that changes in greenhouse gas concentrations due to human activity are the dominant cause of the global warming that has taken place over the last half century. This warming trend is expected to continue as are changes in precipitation over the long term in many regions. Further and more rapid increases in sea level are likely which will have profound implications for coastal communities and ecosystems.

It is not possible to determine exactly how much the Earth will warm or exactly how the climate will change in the future, but careful estimates of potential changes and associated uncertainties have been made. Scientists continue to work to narrow these areas of uncertainty. Uncertainty can work both ways, since the changes and their impacts may be either smaller or larger than those projected.

Like many important decisions, policy choices about climate change have to be made in the absence of perfect knowledge. Even if the remaining uncertainties were substantially resolved, the wide variety of interests, cultures and beliefs in society would make consensus about such choices difficult to achieve. However, the potential impacts of climate change are sufficiently serious that important decisions will need to be made. Climate science – including the substantial body of knowledge that is already well established, and the results of future research – is the essential basis for future climate projections and planning, and must be a vital component of public reasoning in this complex and challenging area. Download the guide  here (PDF).

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